Euro adoption by EU member states
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Criteria
- HICP inflation (12-months average of yearly rates): Shall be no more than 1.5% higher, than the unweighted arithmetic average of the similar HICP inflation rates in the 3 EU member states with the lowest HICP inflation.
- Government budget deficit: The ratio of the annual general government deficit to gross domestic product (GDP) at market prices, must not exceed 3% at the end of the preceding fiscal year.
- Government debt-to-GDP ratio: The ratio of gross government debt to GDP at market prices, must not exceed 60% at the end of the preceding fiscal year. Or if the debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds the 60% limit, the ratio shall at least be found to have "sufficiently diminished and must be approaching the reference value at a satisfactory pace".
- Exchange rate: Applicant countries should have joined the exchange-rate mechanism (ERM / ERM II) under the European Monetary System (EMS) for two consecutive years, and should not have devalued its currency during the last two years, meaning that the country shall have succeeded to keep its monetary exchange-rate within a +/- 15% range from an unchanged central rate.
- Long-term interest rates (average yields for 10yr government bonds in the past year): Shall be no more than 2.0% higher, than the unweighted arithmetic average of the similar 10-year government bond yields in the 3 EU member states with the lowest HICP inflation
Convergence criteria (valid for March 2013) | |||||
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Country | HICP inflation rate (12-months average of annual rates) |
Budget deficit to GDP | Debt-to-GDP ratio | ERM II member | Long-term interest rate (12-months average of 10yr bond yields) |
Reference values | max. 2.6% (as of 28 Feb 2013) |
max. 3.0% (Forecast of fiscal year 2012) |
max. 60%, or declining (Forecast of fiscal year 2012) |
min. 2 years (as of 28 Feb 2013) |
max. 4.89% (as of 28 Feb 2013) |
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Bulgaria | 2.5% | 1.0% | 18.9% | No | 4.16% |
Czech Republic | 3.2% | 5.2% | 45.5% | No | 2.59% |
Denmark | 2.1% | 4.0% | 45.6% | 1 January 1999 | 1.38% |
Hungary | 5.2% | 2.4% | 78.6% (decreasing) | No | 7.43% |
Latvia | 1.8% | 1.5% | 41.9% | 2 May 2005 | 4.17% |
Lithuania | 3.0% | 3.2% | 41.1% | 28 June 2004 | 4.63% |
Poland | 3.2% | 3.5% | 55.8% | No | 4.73% |
Romania | 3.8% | 2.9% | 38.0% | No | 6.48% |
Sweden | 0.9% | 0.2% | 37.7% | No | 1.61% |
United Kingdom | 2.7% | 6.3% | 89.8% (increasing) | No | 1.71% |
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Croatia | 3.9% | 4.6% | 53.6% | No | 5.91% |
Iceland | 6.0% | 1.7% | 96.2% (decreasing) | No | 6.75% (22.Aug-28.Feb 2013) |
Macedonia | 3.4% | 3.8% | 31.0% | No | No data |
Montenegro | 4.1% (2012) | 4.0% | 52.0% | No | No data |
Serbia | 7.3% (2012) | 6.4% | 59.2% | No | No data |
Turkey | 8.4% | 1.9% | 36.3% | No | 8.14% |
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Albania | 2.0% (2012) | 3.5% | 63.8% (increasing) | No | No data |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2.2% (2012) | 2.8% | 43.7% | No | No data |
Kosovo | 0.6% (2012) | 2.8% | 17.6% (estimated) | No | No data |
Criterion fulfilled
Criterion not fulfilledAs of 2013, Latvia and Lithuania are the only non-eurozone countries
belonging to the category of being ERM-II compliant without a Euro
opt-out, and thus actively attempting to comply with all five
convergence criteria for Euro adoption. If Latvia and Lithuania can
comply with the reference limits just in one of the months during the
first half of 2013, they will have qualified for a Euro adoption per 1
January 2014, provided that they remember to apply for ECB to conduct
this extra compliance check, for the specific month in concern.